Week 1 2022 picks

Here’s to another NFL season! The fall is becoming my favorite time of the year—cooler weather, colorful leaves, and football everywhere!

Every NFL offseason I’m humbled with new knowledge and the realization that I know so little. Seems like any edge found is eroded away with the simple passing of time. Yet, Week 1 offers a clean slate to try one’s hand at besting the competition and the betting markets.

Uncle Colin has said the 2022 season, he feels, is the “easiest” to predict the playoff teams from the rest of the league. He says the NFL is becoming a league of haves vs. have-nots. Funny, because I heard the same sentiment mentioned from a data analytics leader at Pro Football Focus (PFF) on the Wharton Moneyball podcast a couple months ago. On the face of it, their reasoning is hard to argue, but from my years of experience, I think the playoff picture is far murkier than the MSM tells us it is.

With that out of the way, in true form, here are the algo’s Week 1 picks:

Raw algorithm picks

NYJ +7 ★★

CLE +1.5 ★

PIT +6.5 ★

SEA +6.5 ★

CHI +7 ★

Preferred sides:

Games unavailable this week due to resource constraints.