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Reflections on the journey to make better decisions.

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The Fundamentals
Reading List
The Fundamentals
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The Fundamentals
On Mechanics
It’s the Most Wonderful Time of the Year
On Mechanics

Seeding the 2021 NFL season.

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On Mechanics
On Decision-Making
Dangers of Monocausality
On Decision-Making

Correlation doesn’t imply causation.

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On Decision-Making
On Mechanics
The Process
On Mechanics

The adventure never ends because we are always on our way.

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On Mechanics
On Decision-Making
Being Contrarian
On Decision-Making

How much wisdom is there in following the crowd?

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On Decision-Making
On Mechanics
Another Everyman's Algorithm
On Mechanics

Sean gives us a peek into his process.

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On Mechanics
On Decision-Making
The Amos Transformation
On Decision-Making

Which option would you rather take: a 2% chance to win $100 -OR- a 50% chance to win $4?

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On Decision-Making
On Decision-Making
Performance Results
On Decision-Making

In order to improve performance, you must measure it.

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On Decision-Making
On Decision-Making
A Decision-Making Framework
On Decision-Making

Follow the process.

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On Decision-Making
On Mechanics
Past Performance Is No Guarantee Of Future Results
On Mechanics

Performance benchmark and comparison against other publicly available models.

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On Mechanics